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A New Energy Future: Options For A Smarter, Cleaner Energy Future

2001-05-01

A_New_Energy_Future.pdf A_New_Energy_Future.pdf

Executive Summary

As the new home of NMPIRG's environmental work, Environment New Mexico can be contacted with any questions regarding this report.

Modern life relies on energy. Energy gets us from place to place, enables us to live in otherwise inhospitable climates, and lights our lives. Had we failed to invent the light bulb, the combustion engine, or the refrigerator, our lives would be immeasurably different — and shockingly limited. Because our dependence on energy is so absolute, we require a reliable energy supply at stable prices. We should be able to use energy when we need it, and pay a reasonable, predictable amount for it.

Further, the tradeoffs we make for energy should be sensible; that is, they should not create massive costs in other realms of the economy or our lives.

Recent fluctuations in supply, price, and policy have brought us to a crossroads for our energy future. We have a choice between the energy plan being proposed by President Bush, which would increase our reliance on dirty, unsustainable fossil fuels and nuclear fission and ultimately increase our nation’s dependence on unstable foreign sources, or an entirely different path to a new energy future. That new energy future should be characterized by energy efficiency, reliance on clean, unlimited, and universally accessible energy sources, and a commitment to end the unacceptable tradeoff of our health and environmental quality for fossil fuel.

The Bush energy plan promotes and accelerates investment in the same sources of energy we have relied on throughout the last half-century — fossil fuels and uranium — as well as in the infrastructure that converts those fuels into power we can use. The plan proposes 1,300 new power plants (more than one per week for the next 20 years), 38,000 miles of new gas pipelines (ten times the distance from Maine to California), expanded fuel exploration and production to keep these plants operating, and dramatically increased air pollution from utilities.

The problems with the Bush energy plan break down into the following major areas:

Escalating environmental tradeoffs
The extraction of fossil fuels is a messy business that we have been willing to accept in return for the payoff of relatively cheap energy. But we are fast approaching the point at which the tradeoff is no longer tolerable. The oil, gas, and coal industries argue that the resources they provide are essentially unlimited: go ahead, use it up, we’ll get more. What they fail to explain is that they will soon only be able to get more by exploring in locations that have long been held sacrosanct, off-limits to the destructive processes of drilling and mining due to their intrinsic beauty and environmental value. The fact that the Bush energy plan calls for drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, Florida’s Gulf Coast, the Rocky Mountains, and more underscores the unsustainability of our current energy path. Today these places, tomorrow... where? We simply can’t afford to assault these significant pieces of our national heritage for oil that will last us only a few years – especially when better alternatives are available.

Further, the burning of fossil fuels is the chief cause of the global warming that is causing worldwide climate change. The tradeoff for continuing down the old energy path will be increased temperatures and massive weather changes that will be devastating to the economy and our lives.

Nuclear power is another environmental nightmare. Irradiated nuclear fuel, arguably the most dangerous substance known, is piling up in temporary storage facilities all around the country with no sound method for handling the waste. There is no good solution to this problem, and there may never be. This waste remains dangerous to humans and other living things for at least a quarter of a million years. Five metric tons of high-level radioactive waste is generated every day, with more than 34,000 tons already in temporary storage at the power plants. The mining and enrichment of uranium itself generates tons of waste which threatens nearby waterways.

Public health costs
Half the country lives in places where air quality exceeds basic health standards. In 1999, the health standard for smog was exceeded 7,694 times in 41 states, and fossil fuel power plants are the number one culprit. In the U.S., energy production and use is the cause of 95% of smog, 92% of fine particulate matter, and 34% of mercury emissions. These hazards lead to asthma, bronchitis, emphysema, and other respiratory ailments, as well as cancer and under-development of the brain and nervous system. We also experience these problems in our economy as excessive health care costs and lost productivity. Deepening our reliance on fossil fuels would exacerbate this public health crisis.

Energy production and use is the primary source of:
Global Climate Change 82%
Acid Rain 85%
Smog 95%
Nuclear Waste 95%
Oil Spills 100%

Wasteful spending on outmoded technology
Most experts agree that our days of reliance on fossil fuel and nuclear power are numbered because we are in the process of developing clean and sustainable sources, including wind power, solar photovoltaics, and the hydrogen fuel cell. It simply makes no sense to make a massive investment in old-fashioned energy when a worldwide conversion is likely inevitable. Were we to pour equivalent resources into clean alternatives today instead of investing in the Bush energy plan, our clean energy future would be much quicker to arrive. Instead, we’re being asked to pour money into outmoded power plants, pipelines, vehicles, and other infrastructure that may not even serve its useful lifetime.

An increasingly unreliable future
By boosting our reliance on fossil fuels and largely dismissing energy efficiency and renewable energy, the Bush energy plan would ultimately force increased dependence on foreign oil by increasing our overall oil dependence. To date, we’ve used up 63% of the total historical and projected crude oil reserves in the U.S., while other countries still have 80% of their total stock left. While increased domestic oil exploration and recovery might cause a short-term reduction in imports as a percentage of consumption, it would only exacerbate the problem later. The only long-term means to reduce our dependence on foreign oil is to reduce our dependence on oil altogether. For our electricity needs, energy companies are pointing to natural gas as the principal answer, but this leaves electricity markets vulnerable to uncertain natural gas flows and annual fluctuations in supply. Recent brownouts in California and price spikes around the country are partly the result of reductions in the available supply of natural gas.

Lack of consumer protection
The Bush energy plan favors large companies focused on traditional energy production and fails to promote opportunities for more nimble entrepreneurs to develop new technologies. The large traditional companies wield enormous power over the market with little democratic oversight. In addition, electricity deregulation has left consumers vulnerable to fluctuating energy prices. Consumers in some states have already seen prices rise dramatically due to skyrocketing wholesale prices set by companies that are reaping record profits.

A Smarter, Cleaner Energy Future

The alternative to the Bush energy plan is an immediate investment in a smarter, cleaner energy future. Strong support for energy conservation and efficiency, coupled with increased emphasis on the development of renewable energy, will produce solutions to the immediate energy crisis, make the energy supply more diverse and reliable, and move us along the path of a clean, healthy, and reliable energy future.

Conservation and Efficiency
Energy conservation and efficiency measures should always be our first response to potential supply/demand imbalances. They have the same effect as increasing supply without the negative consequences of increased energy production and use.

In most cases, efficiency measures that reduce demand are also cheaper and faster to implement than supply-side options. The California Public Utility Commission recently calculated that energy efficiency programs in that state have cost an average of 1.6 ¢/kWh, about a third of the typical cost of new fossil fuel power plants. And whereas large gas-fired power plants take 2–5 years to get online, savings from conservation measures can be realized in days or months. These savings can last as long as or longer than new power plants in the case of durable equipment and buildings.

There are great opportunities for energy conservation and energy efficiency improvements in each of the main sectors of energy use — transportation, industrial processes, and buildings & appliances. Vehicle manufacturers have made great strides in fuel economy technology, yet have not used these technologies to sell more efficient cars. Industry is slowly integrating whole system design into their factories and using more efficient motors and pumps. Building codes and appliance standards have the potential to greatly reduce energy consumption in commercial and residential buildings.

Renewable Energy

Renewable energy production has moved from its infancy to a significant source of power with the potential to grow exponentially in the next few years and beyond. After decades of developing the technology and identifying the resources, we can put this knowledge into action and significantly change the energy mix.

The best wind, solar thermal, and geothermal projects can now produce electricity for the same cost as fossil fuel electricity production. Many other projects could be developed at costs in the range of 51/2¢/kWh. This is close enough to the roughly 41/2¢/kWh cost of generation from coal and natural gas that it is worth our while to develop these resources now. The benefits will be felt throughout our economy in lower health care costs resulting from air pollution from power plants and less environmental damage from fossil fuel extraction and polluted air and water. Plus, generation costs will continue to decrease through economies of scale as new technologies become more widespread. Renewable energy production also creates well-paying, technology-oriented jobs.

For all of these reasons, stimulating renewable energy production is a more sensible long-term investment than propping up traditional energy systems. Most energy companies are reluctant to develop renewable energy projects even at equal cost to traditional fuels because of the inevitable uncertainties of new technology. But while they are less proven, renewables will be more beneficial and should be given higher priority.

Through a combination of requiring electricity retailers to buy power from renewable energy producers and providing financial incentives to narrow the cost difference, we could capitalize on a wealth of renewable energy opportunities. The federal government should require that electricity retailers buy at least 20% of their supplies from renewable energy producers by 2020 and should stimulate production through R&D subsidies and government procurement policies.

The nation needs to make a policy choice this year that will determine our energy structure for the coming years and decades. One path includes increased subsidies to fossil fuel and nuclear power companies, weakened clean air protections, extending the lifetimes of nuclear plants, and drilling in many sensitive areas throughout the country. The other path starts now with our transition to smarter, cleaner energy sources by encouraging renewable energy development and committing ourselves to energy conservation and efficiency. As this second path would reduce damage to our health and the environment and would save us money in the long run, it would be irresponsible to ignore this opportunity and drive the country further into fossil fuel dependence and nuclear risk.